Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 107.144455 118.591379 130.236798 142.941253 156.381566 170.149287 185.290261
2024-12-15 88.790932 105.414204 123.018551 142.931832 164.715726 187.714344 213.723965
2024-12-22 76.587087 95.976133 117.140073 141.714629 169.231920 198.880585 233.029202
2024-12-29 69.056118 90.658782 114.849030 143.545240 176.279194 212.109780 253.955592
2025-01-05 63.319359 86.709627 113.505367 145.888542 183.413937 225.032104 274.192210
2025-01-12 56.544930 80.914117 109.491666 144.675717 186.079289 232.581975 288.105850
2025-01-19 49.774677 74.571771 104.357431 141.716441 186.347190 237.087272 298.292151
2025-01-26 47.467202 73.577498 105.495427 146.063646 195.043640 251.198273 319.408760
2025-02-02 44.840027 71.950187 105.678306 149.110677 202.089262 263.319377 338.189433
2025-02-09 40.542023 67.830248 102.499064 147.828623 203.777130 269.033884 349.424399
2025-02-16 36.665885 64.001148 99.464252 146.527844 205.278157 274.399850 360.149512
2025-02-23 34.129745 61.834356 98.433818 147.622720 209.609847 283.064232 374.712420
2025-03-02 31.487812 59.383087 96.950566 148.109070 213.208010 290.913930 388.428533
2025-03-09 29.267108 57.391226 95.972122 149.164473 217.464357 299.538133 403.077525
2025-03-16 26.387868 54.213799 93.222675 147.776812 218.546037 304.228757 412.957263
2025-03-23 24.841279 52.947977 93.020210 149.673209 223.733066 313.903223 428.823782
2025-03-30 23.574304 52.025972 93.233366 152.075052 229.535870 324.323843 445.600431
2025-04-06 21.298697 49.327881 90.805687 150.831066 230.585752 328.829724 455.167762
2025-04-13 18.707161 45.897037 87.159350 147.794536 229.206045 330.235730 460.888756
2025-04-20 18.350021 46.215825 88.983319 152.254964 237.593103 343.834040 481.557945
2025-04-27 17.664432 45.913567 89.855109 155.380577 244.228515 355.249525 499.572003
2025-05-04 15.910180 43.585897 87.594867 154.065536 244.962007 359.212258 508.387752
2025-05-11 14.291349 41.358662 85.381826 152.731174 245.603940 363.012498 516.970274